Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)

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Stochastic Processes Framework for Traffic Flow Optimization in Tanzania Using Finite-Element Discretization and Error Bounds Analysis

Kamwengeza Zipporah, Department of Research, Sokoine University of Agriculture (SUA), Morogoro
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18907206
Published: March 22, 2010

Abstract

Traffic flow optimization in Tanzania is crucial for improving road safety and reducing congestion. However, traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the stochastic nature of traffic dynamics due to unpredictable factors such as weather conditions and driver behaviour. The methodology involves formulating a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for traffic flow dynamics based on the continuous-time Markov process. Finite-element methods are employed to discretize the SDE over spatial domains representing different road segments in Tanzania. Error bounds are analysed using properties of the finite element approximation. This theoretical framework provides a robust method for optimising traffic flow in Tanzania by accounting for the inherent uncertainties. The finite-element discretization approach offers a practical solution for policymakers aiming to enhance road safety and efficiency. Policymakers should consider implementing this model as part of their planning strategies, alongside empirical validation studies to ensure its applicability in real-world conditions. Model selection is formalised as $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta\in\Theta}\{L(\theta)+\lambda\,\Omega(\theta)\}$ with consistency under mild identifiability assumptions.

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How to Cite

Kamwengeza Zipporah (2010). Stochastic Processes Framework for Traffic Flow Optimization in Tanzania Using Finite-Element Discretization and Error Bounds Analysis. African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science), Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18907206

Keywords

TanzaniaStochastic ProcessesFinite-Element MethodDiscretizationError AnalysisMonte Carlo SimulationQueueing Theory

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Vol. 2010 No. 1 (2010)
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African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science)

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