African Pure Mathematics Quarterly (Pure Science)

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002)

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Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Time-Series Econometrics for Agricultural Yield Prediction in Tanzania,

Kamwiro Muhamed, University of Dar es Salaam Simiyu Emmanuel, Catholic University of Health and Allied Sciences (CUHAS) Mlimu Ali, Mkwawa University College of Education Sangaye Fikiri, Department of Advanced Studies, Mkwawa University College of Education
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18749684
Published: September 6, 2002

Abstract

This study addresses a current research gap in Mathematics concerning Time-Series Econometrics for agricultural yield prediction in Tanzania: asymptotic analysis and identifiability checks in Tanzania. The objective is to formulate a rigorous model, state verifiable assumptions, and derive results with direct analytical or practical implications. A theorem-driven mathematical framework was developed under explicit regularity assumptions, with stability and convergence analysis of the proposed estimator. The main results show stability of the proposed functional under bounded perturbations and convergence of the estimator to a well-defined limit, characterised by $R(x)=argmin_theta L(theta;x)$. The findings provide a reproducible analytical basis for subsequent theoretical and applied extensions. Stakeholders should prioritise inclusive, locally grounded strategies and improve data transparency. Time-Series Econometrics for agricultural yield prediction in Tanzania: asymptotic analysis and identifiability checks, Tanzania, Africa, Mathematics, theoretical This work contributes a formal specification, transparent assumptions, and mathematically interpretable claims.

How to Cite

Kamwiro Muhamed, Simiyu Emmanuel, Mlimu Ali, Sangaye Fikiri (2002). Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Time-Series Econometrics for Agricultural Yield Prediction in Tanzania,. African Pure Mathematics Quarterly (Pure Science), Vol. 2002 No. 1 (2002). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18749684

Keywords

Sub-SaharanTime-SeriesCointegrationVector Autoregression (VAR)Asymptotic DistributionIdentifiabilityNonlinear Dynamics

References