Vol. 2007 No. 1 (2007)

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Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Time-Series Econometrics for Telecom Network Reliability in South Africa

Mokgophelo Tshepiso, University of Pretoria Kgotla Kgotsedi, University of Pretoria Sipho Mkhize, Department of Research, University of Pretoria Modjadji Monama, Graduate School of Business, UCT
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18849043
Published: June 19, 2007

Abstract

This study examines the reliability of telecom networks in South Africa through time-series econometrics analysis. Asymptotic analysis was employed, along with an assumption that the error terms in the econometric model are normally distributed. The methodological approach includes identifying variables affecting network reliability and validating the model’s ability to predict future performance. The study identified a significant correlation between network congestion and downtime, with a proportion of 35% of reported outages attributed to traffic volume exceeding capacity limits. The asymptotic analysis confirmed that the econometric model is robust in identifying key factors influencing telecom network reliability. The identifiability checks indicated no multicollinearity issues among predictors. Further research should focus on incorporating real-time data for more accurate predictions and exploring potential interventions to reduce outages. The analytical core is $\hat{y}_t=\mathcal{F}(x_t;\theta)$ with $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}L(\theta)$, and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

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Mokgophelo Tshepiso, Kgotla Kgotsedi, Sipho Mkhize, Modjadji Monama (2007). Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Time-Series Econometrics for Telecom Network Reliability in South Africa. African Topology Studies (Pure Science), Vol. 2007 No. 1 (2007). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18849043

Keywords

Sub-SaharanAfricaTime-SeriesEconometricsIdentificationAsymptoticCointegration

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Vol. 2007 No. 1 (2007)
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African Topology Studies (Pure Science)

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