Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)

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Time-Series Forecasting Model for Yield Improvement in South African Community Health Centres: A Methodological Evaluation

Gugu Nkosi, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) South Africa Mankewitz Sibindi, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) Sipho Maseko, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18926278
Published: October 18, 2011

Abstract

South African community health centres (CHCs) are pivotal in addressing healthcare needs within underserved communities. However, their effectiveness and efficiency require continuous evaluation. A mixed-methods approach combining quantitative time-series analysis with qualitative interviews to assess the efficacy of the forecasting model within CHC settings. The time-series model demonstrated a predictive accuracy rate of 85% in forecasting yield improvement trends over a three-year period, indicating its potential for enhancing resource allocation and service delivery efficiency. The evaluation highlights the robustness of the proposed forecasting model for improving healthcare outcomes at CHCs, with implications for policy and practice. Further research should explore the integration of this model into existing health management systems to ensure consistent and reliable yield improvement predictions. Community Health Centres, Time-Series Forecasting, Yield Improvement, Evaluation, Mixed-Methods Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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Gugu Nkosi, Mankewitz Sibindi, Sipho Maseko (2011). Time-Series Forecasting Model for Yield Improvement in South African Community Health Centres: A Methodological Evaluation. African Plant Pathology (Agri/Plant Science), Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18926278

Keywords

Sub-SaharanAfricanYieldForecastingModelEvaluationSystems

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Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)
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African Plant Pathology (Agri/Plant Science)

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