Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

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Methodological Evaluation of Regional Monitoring Networks in South Africa Using Difference-in-Differences Models for Risk Reduction Assessment

Keiko Mathee, South African Institute for Medical Research (SAIMR) Sipho Motshega, South African Institute for Medical Research (SAIMR) Makgamane Khusela, Department of Agricultural Economics, SA Astronomical Observatory (SAAO) Mangaliso Ngwenya, SA Medical Research Council (SAMRC)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18992079
Published: April 24, 2013

Abstract

Regional monitoring networks are essential tools for managing agricultural pests and diseases in South Africa to reduce crop losses. A difference-in-differences (DiD) regression analysis will be employed to assess the intervention effect of monitoring networks on maize yields. Uncertainty estimates will be provided using robust standard errors. Field data show a significant reduction in maize yield variability by approximately 20% in regions where monitoring networks are implemented, compared to non-implemented areas. The DiD model effectively demonstrates the impact of regional monitoring networks on risk reduction in South African agriculture. Further implementation should be prioritised in regions with high maize yield variability and limited monitoring coverage. The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

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How to Cite

Keiko Mathee, Sipho Motshega, Makgamane Khusela, Mangaliso Ngwenya (2013). Methodological Evaluation of Regional Monitoring Networks in South Africa Using Difference-in-Differences Models for Risk Reduction Assessment. African Weed Science (Agri/Plant Science), Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18992079

Keywords

AfricanGeospatialMonitoringNetworksDiDPrecisionRisk

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Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
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African Weed Science (Agri/Plant Science)

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