Issue cover

Vol. 1 No. 1 (2024): Volume 1, Issue 1 (2024)

View Issue TOC

Climate Security in the Horn of Africa: Environmental Stress, Governance Failure, and Pastoralist Violence

Abraham Kuol Nyuon (Ph.D)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19501144
Published: April 10, 2026

Abstract

This policy brief examines the critical nexus between climate-induced environmental stress and escalating intercommunal violence among pastoralist groups in Ethiopia, arguing that environmental change is a primary but non-exclusive driver of insecurity. Its objective is to analyse the specific governance failures that mediate this climate-conflict relationship, moving beyond deterministic narratives. The approach employs a mixed-methods design, integrating spatial analysis of climate data with qualitative fieldwork including interviews and focus group discussions conducted in conflict-prone regions. The core findings demonstrate that recurrent droughts and water insecurity directly undermine pastoralist livelihoods, forcing migration and competition. However, this ecological pressure is catalysed into violence by systemic governance deficits, including the historical marginalisation of pastoralist communities, inequitable distribution of drought response resources, and a development bias favouring sedentary agriculture. The study’s central contribution is its empirical identification of these governance failures as the essential mechanism transforming resource competition into conflict. Consequently, the practical implication is that climate security policy must be fundamentally reconfigured to prioritise transparent, inclusive resource governance and the institutional integration of climate adaptation with conflict prevention, addressing the roots of vulnerability to mitigate conflict risk effectively.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Abraham Kuol Nyuon (Ph.D) (2026). Climate Security in the Horn of Africa: Environmental Stress, Governance Failure, and Pastoralist Violence. African Bureaucracy Studies (Public Admin/Political, Vol. 1 No. 1 (2024): Volume 1, Issue 1 (2024). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19501144

Keywords

Climate securityHorn of Africaenvironmental stresspastoralist conflictgovernance failureclimate-conflict nexus

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 1 No. 1 (2024): Volume 1, Issue 1 (2024)
Current Journal
African Bureaucracy Studies (Public Admin/Political

References