Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001)

View Issue TOC

Methodological Evaluation of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Uganda: A Time-Series Forecasting Approach to Assess System Reliability

Nyariki Kazembere, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit Kabwesheza Okello, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit Okumu Nabirye, Department of Epidemiology, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18727339
Published: April 16, 2001

Abstract

Public health surveillance systems in Uganda are critical for monitoring infectious diseases and ensuring timely interventions. A systematic literature review was conducted using databases such as PubMed and Google Scholar. Time-series models were applied to assess system performance. The analysis revealed a significant upward trend in disease incidence data over the past five years (direction, proportion increase of 25%). Public health surveillance systems in Uganda show variable reliability, with some systems performing better than others. Investment should be directed towards strengthening systems that consistently underperform. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Nyariki Kazembere, Kabwesheza Okello, Okumu Nabirye (2001). Methodological Evaluation of Public Health Surveillance Systems in Uganda: A Time-Series Forecasting Approach to Assess System Reliability. African Livestock Production Science (Health focus), Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18727339

Keywords

Sub-Saharansurveillancemethodologyreliabilityforecastingtime-seriespublic health

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2001 No. 1 (2001)
Current Journal
African Livestock Production Science (Health focus)

References