African Biogeography (Earth/Environmental Science) | 24 April 2008
Methodological Evaluation of Municipal Water Systems in Senegal Using Time-Series Forecasting for Adoption Rate Measurement
M, a, w, l, a, n, a, N, d, e, y, e, M, a, r, i, a, m, a, B, a, r, r, a, y
Abstract
Municipal water systems in Senegal face challenges related to adoption rates, necessitating robust methodologies for evaluation and forecasting. A comprehensive time-series analysis was employed, incorporating SARIMA (Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) for forecasting. Uncertainty quantification was achieved through robust standard errors. The model demonstrated a clear trend towards increased adoption rates over the past decade, with a 30% increase observed in urban areas compared to rural regions. This study provides a validated methodological framework for assessing municipal water system adoption rates in Senegal, offering insights into future policy and resource allocation. Further research should explore long-term trends and potential interventions based on the identified patterns of adoption rate changes. Senegal, Municipal Water Systems, Forecasting Model, Adoption Rates, Time-Series Analysis The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.