Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)

View Issue TOC

Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Efficiency Gains in Community Health Centres in Tanzania

Nkata Nsengiyimana, Sokoine University of Agriculture (SUA), Morogoro Kamagaye Kigabiya, Department of Public Health, Catholic University of Health and Allied Sciences (CUHAS)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18711435
Published: November 11, 2000

Abstract

Community health centres in Tanzania face challenges in maintaining efficient service delivery. A time-series forecasting model was developed to analyse historical data on patient volumes, staff productivity, and resource allocation. Robust standard errors were used for inference. The model predicts an average annual increase in service efficiency by 5% over the next five years, with confidence intervals of ±2%. The time-series forecasting model elucidates trends in community health centre performance and suggests strategies for improvement. Implementing preventive healthcare measures and enhancing staff training could further boost efficiency gains. Community Health Centres, Efficiency Forecasting, Time-Series Analysis, Tanzania Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Nkata Nsengiyimana, Kamagaye Kigabiya (2000). Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Efficiency Gains in Community Health Centres in Tanzania. African Ecosystems Research (Environmental Science), Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18711435

Keywords

TanzaniaGeographic Information Systems (GIS)Time-series AnalysisEfficiency MeasurementData MiningKPIsEconometrics

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2000 No. 1 (2000)
Current Journal
African Ecosystems Research (Environmental Science)

References