Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)

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Methodological Evaluation of Municipal Water Systems in Tanzania: Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction Assessment

Mbalaya Njuki, Department of Research, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha Kamiti Mwesigwa, Department of Advanced Studies, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18924182
Published: January 19, 2011

Abstract

Municipal water systems in Tanzania face challenges such as inadequate infrastructure and frequent water shortages. A scoping review methodology will be employed to systematically identify, select, and synthesize studies on time-series forecasting for municipal water systems in Tanzania. The selected studies predominantly used autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models with a mean forecast accuracy of 75% across different regions. Time-series forecasting models can effectively predict future water demand and supply risks, providing valuable insights for risk reduction strategies in municipal water systems. Further research should explore the application of machine learning algorithms to enhance model performance and adaptability. The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

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How to Cite

Mbalaya Njuki, Kamiti Mwesigwa (2011). Methodological Evaluation of Municipal Water Systems in Tanzania: Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction Assessment. African Journal of Geology, Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18924182

Keywords

Sub-SaharanGISeconometricsustainabilitystochastic modelswater scarcityforecasting methodologies

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Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)
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African Journal of Geology

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