Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)

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Methodological Evaluation of Bayesian Hierarchical Models in Assessing Yield Improvement in Off-Grid Communities Across South Africa,

Nokuthula Makhath, Department of Research, University of Zululand Gadi Khumalo, Department of Research, Rhodes University Sipho Mathunjwa, University of Zululand
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18924306
Published: May 20, 2011

Abstract

Bayesian hierarchical models have gained prominence in environmental science for their ability to handle complex data structures and uncertainties inherent in off-grid community systems. A systematic literature review was conducted using a comprehensive database search strategy. Quantitative data from published studies were analysed using Bayesian hierarchical modelling techniques to estimate yield improvements and associated uncertainties. Bayesian hierarchical models exhibited robustness in capturing the variability of off-grid community systems, with significant reductions in energy consumption observed across multiple case studies (e.g., up to 30% reduction). The review underscores the effectiveness of Bayesian hierarchical models for quantifying yield improvement and highlights their utility in guiding policy and practice development for sustainable off-grid solutions. Future research should explore the scalability of these models across different geographical regions and socio-economic contexts to ensure broad applicability and reliability. The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

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How to Cite

Nokuthula Makhath, Gadi Khumalo, Sipho Mathunjwa (2011). Methodological Evaluation of Bayesian Hierarchical Models in Assessing Yield Improvement in Off-Grid Communities Across South Africa,. African Oceanography Studies (Earth Science focus), Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18924306

Keywords

South AfricaBayesian hierarchical modelsoff-grid communitiesyield improvementuncertainty analysisspatial statisticseconometrics

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Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)
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African Oceanography Studies (Earth Science focus)

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