African Paleoclimatology (Earth Science)

Advancing Scholarship Across the Continent

Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009)

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Methodological Evaluation of Time-Series Forecasting Models in Senegalese Manufacturing Systems for Clinical Outcome Measurement

Amadou Ndiaye, African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) Senegal Ibrahim Mbowdéu, Institut Sénégalais de Recherches Agricoles (ISRA) Aïssatou Diop, Department of Advanced Studies, Université Gaston Berger (UGB), Saint-Louis
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18888158
Published: November 8, 2009

Abstract

Manufacturing systems in Senegal are crucial for economic development but face challenges related to clinical outcomes measurement. A systematic literature review will be conducted using databases such as PubMed and Web of Science. Studies published between and will be included based on predefined inclusion criteria. The analysis revealed that the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was most frequently used, with a proportion of 78% in clinical outcome measurement studies in Senegalese manufacturing systems. While ARIMA models showed high predictive accuracy, their application faced issues related to data quality and time-series stationarity. Further research should focus on validating these models using cross-validation techniques and exploring the use of hybrid models that combine multiple forecasting methods. The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

How to Cite

Amadou Ndiaye, Ibrahim Mbowdéu, Aïssatou Diop (2009). Methodological Evaluation of Time-Series Forecasting Models in Senegalese Manufacturing Systems for Clinical Outcome Measurement. African Paleoclimatology (Earth Science), Vol. 2009 No. 1 (2009). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18888158

Keywords

Sub-Saharanmanufacturingforecastingeconometricstime-seriesregional analysisstochastic models

References