Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

View Issue TOC

Methodological Evaluation of District Hospital Systems in South Africa Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Adoption Rate Measurement

Makazi Nkonyane, Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC) Tjapke Mafufoaa, Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC) Sipho Mngomezu, South African Institute for Medical Research (SAIMR)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18981391
Published: March 4, 2013

Abstract

District hospitals in South Africa face challenges in adopting new medical technologies and practices efficiently. The study will employ a time-series forecasting model to predict adoption trends, incorporating historical data on technology use from selected districts. Confidence intervals will be used to quantify forecast uncertainty. A preliminary analysis indicates that the time-series model accurately forecasts adoption rates with an error margin of ±5% for the next six months. The proposed methodology demonstrates promise in predicting district hospital adoption patterns, offering a robust tool for strategic planning and resource allocation. Further research should validate these findings across a broader sample to ensure model generalizability. District hospitals, time-series forecasting, healthcare adoption, South Africa Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

Full Text:

Read the Full Article

The HTML galley is loaded below for inline reading and better discovery.

How to Cite

Makazi Nkonyane, Tjapke Mafufoaa, Sipho Mngomezu (2013). Methodological Evaluation of District Hospital Systems in South Africa Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Adoption Rate Measurement. African Dentistry Journal, Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18981391

Keywords

Sub-Saharanspatial analysiseconometricspanel dataforecastinghealthcare systemdiffusion of innovations

Research Snapshot

Desktop reading view
Language
EN
Formats
HTML + PDF
Publication Track
Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
Current Journal
African Dentistry Journal

References