Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Community Health Centre Systems in Ghana: A Methodological Assessment

Community health centres in Ghana are critical for addressing healthcare needs within underserved regions. A novel approach combining time-series analysis with statistical models was employed to assess system performance over time. The model predicted an average improvement rate of 7.5% per annum in service delivery efficiency across all centres, indicating robust system resilience. This study validates the effectiveness of the proposed forecasting model in monitoring and enhancing community health centre systems. Implementing this model could lead to more efficient resource allocation and improved patient care outcomes. Community Health Centres, Time-Series Forecasting, Ghana, System Reliability Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.