Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)

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Methodological Evaluation of Community Health Centre Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Clinical Outcome Assessment

Abduke Kisivi, Kyambogo University, Kampala Chewance Mwesiga, Kyambogo University, Kampala Davida Kiwanuka, Department of Pediatrics, Makerere University, Kampala Basilina Obinna, Department of Public Health, Medical Research Council (MRC)/UVRI and LSHTM Uganda Research Unit
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18983122
Published: December 8, 2013

Abstract

Community health centers in Uganda face challenges in delivering consistent clinical outcomes due to variability in service delivery. A comprehensive meta-analysis was conducted, incorporating data from multiple studies on community health centers in Uganda. Time-series forecasting models were applied to predict and analyse clinical outcomes over a period of at least one year. The analysis revealed an average forecast accuracy rate of 75% for future clinical outcome assessments using the proposed time-series model, with confidence intervals indicating robust standard error values. This study highlights the potential of time-series forecasting models in enhancing clinical outcome assessment within community health centers in Uganda. Further research should focus on validating these findings through randomized controlled trials and exploring integration of machine learning algorithms for improved prediction accuracy. Community Health Centers, Time-Series Forecasting, Clinical Outcomes, Meta-Analysis, Uganda Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Abduke Kisivi, Chewance Mwesiga, Davida Kiwanuka, Basilina Obinna (2013). Methodological Evaluation of Community Health Centre Systems in Uganda Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Clinical Outcome Assessment. African Sleep Medicine, Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18983122

Keywords

Sub-SaharanAfricanSocioeconomicfactorialmeta-analysisforecastingmodel

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Vol. 2013 No. 1 (2013)
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African Sleep Medicine

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