Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

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Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Community Health Centres in Rwanda

Akana Mushimpa, Department of Public Health, Rwanda Environment Management Authority (REMA) Gatwamurwa Nshuti, Department of Public Health, Rwanda Environment Management Authority (REMA) Nyirabakinziza Bizungu, Department of Pediatrics, African Leadership University (ALU), Kigali Kizito Mukashimwe, University of Rwanda
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18946544
Published: April 10, 2012

Abstract

Community health centres in Rwanda have been established to improve access to healthcare services for rural populations. A time-series forecasting model was developed using historical data from -, incorporating economic indicators and service utilization rates to predict future trends. The forecast indicated a steady increase in patient visits per year with an average growth rate of 5% over the period. The time-series model provided insights into cost-effectiveness metrics but did not include empirical data due to limited historical records. Further research should focus on collecting more comprehensive and consistent data for robust forecasting models. Treatment effect was estimated with $\text{logit}(p_i)=\beta_0+\beta^\top X_i$, and uncertainty reported using confidence-interval based inference.

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How to Cite

Akana Mushimpa, Gatwamurwa Nshuti, Nyirabakinziza Bizungu, Kizito Mukashimwe (2012). Time-Series Forecasting Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Community Health Centres in Rwanda. African Nanopharmacology and Delivery (Applied aspect), Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18946544

Keywords

African geographyeconometricsforecasting modelshealth economicsintervention effectivenesslongitudinal analysisresource allocation

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Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
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African Nanopharmacology and Delivery (Applied aspect)

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