Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)

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Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptive Planning in Kenya

Mercy Kilonzimba, Department of Data Science, Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI) Oscar Mwai, Department of Data Science, Egerton University
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18946417
Published: August 27, 2012

Abstract

Climate change has significant impacts on agriculture in Kenya, necessitating advanced predictive models for effective adaptation planning. The study employed a Random Forest model with historical weather data from the Meteorological Department of Kenya. Model validation was conducted using cross-validation techniques. The Random Forest model achieved an accuracy rate above 80% in predicting temperature and precipitation patterns, providing insights into climate variability. Machine learning models can effectively predict climate conditions in Kenya, aiding farmers in making informed decisions to enhance crop yields and reduce vulnerability to extreme weather events. Adopt the developed machine learning models for climate prediction within agricultural advisories and support services to promote sustainable farming practices. Model estimation used $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}\sum_i\ell(y_i,f_\theta(x_i))+\lambda\lVert\theta\rVert_2^2$, with performance evaluated using out-of-sample error.

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How to Cite

Mercy Kilonzimba, Oscar Mwai (2012). Machine Learning Models for Climate Prediction and Adaptive Planning in Kenya. African Pharmaceutical Regulatory Affairs, Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18946417

Keywords

African climatesGeographic Information Systems (GIS)Machine LearningPredictive ModelsRandom ForestSpatial Data AnalysisWeather Patterns

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Vol. 2012 No. 1 (2012)
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African Pharmaceutical Regulatory Affairs

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