Vol. 1 No. 1 (2017)

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A Randomised Field Trial Methodology for Risk Reduction in Nigerian Transport Depot Maintenance Systems

Ibrahim Sani, Federal University of Technology, Akure Adebayo Adewale, University of Jos Chinwe Okonkwo, University of Abuja Ngozi Eze, Federal University of Technology, Akure
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18974085
Published: May 28, 2017

Abstract

{ "background": "Maintenance systems in transport depots are critical for operational safety and efficiency, yet they are often managed using ad-hoc, reactive approaches. In Nigeria, the lack of structured, evidence-based methodologies for evaluating and improving these systems contributes to persistent operational risks and infrastructure failures.", "purpose and objectives": "This article presents a novel methodological framework for conducting randomised field trials (RFTs) specifically designed to evaluate engineering interventions within transport depot maintenance systems. The primary objective is to provide a rigorous protocol for measuring causal impacts on risk reduction metrics.", "methodology": "The proposed RFT methodology employs a cluster-randomised, stepped-wedge design where depots are randomised to receive a systematised preventive maintenance intervention at different sequential steps. The core impact is estimated using a generalised linear mixed model: $\\logit(P(Y{it}=1)) = \\beta0 + \\beta T{it} + \\gammat + ui + \\epsilon{it}$, where $Y{it}$ is a binary failure event for depot $i$ at time $t$, $T{it}$ is the treatment indicator, $\\gammat$ are time-fixed effects, and $ui$ are depot random effects. Inference is based on cluster-robust standard errors.", "findings": "As a methodology article, it presents no empirical results from a completed trial. However, the framework's simulation studies, based on parameter estimates from pilot data, indicate that the design can detect a minimum 30% reduction in critical failure rates with 80% power. A key thematic finding from the protocol development is the critical importance of embedding lead engineers as co-researchers to ensure intervention fidelity.", "conclusion": "The developed RFT protocol provides a viable and rigorous experimental framework for generating high-quality evidence on engineering interventions in complex, real-world depot environments. It addresses specific challenges such as contamination between units and sequential rollout constraints.", "recommendations": "Researchers and depot engineers should adopt this structured RFT approach to move

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How to Cite

Ibrahim Sani, Adebayo Adewale, Chinwe Okonkwo, Ngozi Eze (2017). A Randomised Field Trial Methodology for Risk Reduction in Nigerian Transport Depot Maintenance Systems. African Civil Engineering Journal, Vol. 1 No. 1 (2017). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18974085

Keywords

Randomised controlled trialMaintenance engineeringRisk assessmentTransport depot managementSub-Saharan AfricaField experimentReliability engineering

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Vol. 1 No. 1 (2017)
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