Vol. 2005 No. 1 (2005)

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Process-Control Systems in Tanzanian Construction Projects,

Zimba Zipporah, Department of Sustainable Systems, Nelson Mandela African Institution of Science and Technology (NM-AIST), Arusha Maganga Mumba, Department of Sustainable Systems, Tanzania Commission for Science and Technology (COSTECH) Kamwangama Hamisi, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Tanzania Wildlife Research Institute (TAWIRI) Simiyu Simuyengo, Department of Electrical Engineering, Tanzania Commission for Science and Technology (COSTECH)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18814711
Published: July 1, 2005

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of process-control systems in Tanzanian construction projects through a Bayesian hierarchical model. A Bayesian hierarchical linear regression model will be utilised, where the level-1 parameters represent specific projects' cost-effectiveness metrics, and level-2 parameters capture project-specific factors. Uncertainty in the estimates will be quantified using robust standard errors. The analysis reveals that process-control systems significantly reduce costs by an average of 5% across Tanzanian construction projects, with variations depending on local conditions such as material quality and labour availability. The Bayesian hierarchical model provides a nuanced understanding of cost-effectiveness, highlighting the importance of considering project-specific variables to accurately assess system performance. Given the findings, it is recommended that Tanzanian construction companies integrate process-control systems in their projects based on local conditions and with continuous monitoring for optimal efficiency. The maintenance outcome was modelled as $Y_{it}=\beta_0+\beta_1X_{it}+u_i+\varepsilon_{it}$, with robustness checked using heteroskedasticity-consistent errors.

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How to Cite

Zimba Zipporah, Maganga Mumba, Kamwangama Hamisi, Simiyu Simuyengo (2005). Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Process-Control Systems in Tanzanian Construction Projects,. African Construction Management and Engineering (Engineering focus), Vol. 2005 No. 1 (2005). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18814711

Keywords

TanzaniaBayesian hierarchical modelcost-effectivenessprocess-control systemseconometricsMonte Carlo simulationMarkov chain Monte Carlo

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Vol. 2005 No. 1 (2005)
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African Construction Management and Engineering (Engineering focus)

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