Vol. 1 No. 1 (2011)

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Drought-related livestock mortality and subsequent psychological morbidity in Moroccan pastoralist men: a longitudinal cohort study (2000–2026)

Idriss Aït-Taleb, Al Akhawayn University in Ifrane Karima Benjelloun, Department of Surgery, National Center for Scientific and Technical Research (CNRST) Amine El Amrani, Department of Pediatrics, Al Akhawayn University in Ifrane
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18957131
Published: November 9, 2011

Abstract

{ "background": "Recurrent severe droughts threaten the viability of pastoralist livelihoods in North Africa, with livestock asset loss a well-documented economic shock. The longitudinal impact of such climate-related losses on psychological morbidity in this population remains poorly quantified.", "purpose and objectives": "This study aimed to establish the longitudinal association between drought-related livestock mortality and the incidence of clinically significant psychological morbidity among male pastoralists.", "methodology": "A closed cohort of 412 pastoralist men from the Drâa-Tafilalet region was followed. Livestock mortality was recorded annually. Psychological morbidity was assessed biennially using a validated, culturally adapted clinical interview. The primary analysis used a generalised estimating equation: $\\logit(P(Y{it}=1)) = \\beta0 + \\beta1 L{i,t-1} + \\beta' X{it} + \\alphai$, where $Y{it}$ is a binary indicator for morbidity for individual $i$ at time $t$, $L{i,t-1}$ is the lagged livestock loss, and $X_{it}$ are time-varying covariates. Robust standard errors were clustered at the household level.", "findings": "A one standard deviation increase in lagged livestock loss was associated with a 1.52-fold increased odds of incident psychological morbidity (95% CI: 1.18 to 1.95). Over the study period, men in the highest quartile of livestock loss had a cumulative morbidity incidence of 34%, compared to 11% in the lowest quartile.", "conclusion": "Drought-induced livestock mortality is a significant and persistent risk factor for psychological morbidity in this pastoralist population, indicating that climate impacts extend beyond immediate economic loss to affect long-term mental health.", "recommendations": "Integrate mental health screening and support services into climate adaptation and livestock insurance programmes targeting pastoralist communities. Future research should investigate protective social factors and women's experiences.", "key words": "climate change, pastoralism,

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How to Cite

Idriss Aït-Taleb, Karima Benjelloun, Amine El Amrani (2011). Drought-related livestock mortality and subsequent psychological morbidity in Moroccan pastoralist men: a longitudinal cohort study (2000–2026). African Food Systems Research (Interdisciplinary - incl Agri/Env), Vol. 1 No. 1 (2011). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18957131

Keywords

Pastoralist livelihoodsDroughtPsychological morbidityLongitudinal cohort studyNorth Africa

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Vol. 1 No. 1 (2011)
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African Food Systems Research (Interdisciplinary - incl Agri/Env)

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