Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)

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Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Graph Theory for Power-Grid Forecasting in Nigeria

Obiora Ifeyinfa, National Centre for Technology Management (NACETEM) Ifeyinna Obiora, Department of Advanced Studies, University of Lagos Chibuezhukwu Emechebe, Department of Research, University of Lagos
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18928512
Published: November 7, 2011

Abstract

Graph theory is a fundamental tool in network analysis, offering insights into complex systems such as power grids. In Nigeria, understanding and predicting power grid behaviour is crucial for ensuring reliable electricity supply. Graph theory principles, including node and edge representations, were utilised. Asymptotic analysis was conducted using stochastic processes for large-scale networks. Identifiability checks ensured that the model parameters could be uniquely determined from observable data. An empirical study on a representative Nigerian power grid revealed significant convergence in network behaviour over time, supporting the theoretical predictions. The findings confirm the effectiveness of graph theory in forecasting, with notable improvements in accuracy for future electricity supply planning. Further research should focus on integrating real-time data into the models to enhance predictive capabilities and ensure grid stability. Graph Theory, Power Grid Forecasting, Asymptotic Analysis, Identifiability Checks The analytical core is $\hat{y}_t=\mathcal{F}(x_t;\theta)$ with $\hat{\theta}=argmin_{\theta}L(\theta)$, and convergence is established under standard smoothness conditions.

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Obiora Ifeyinfa, Ifeyinna Obiora, Chibuezhukwu Emechebe (2011). Asymptotic Analysis and Identifiability Checks in Graph Theory for Power-Grid Forecasting in Nigeria. African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science), Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18928512

Keywords

Sub-SaharanAfrican diasporaNetwork scienceGraph theorySpectral clusteringPerturbation analysisIdentifiability

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Vol. 2011 No. 1 (2011)
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African Probability and Statistics (Pure Science)

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