Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008)

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Methodological Evaluation of Off-Grid Communities Systems in Kenya Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction Assessment

Okoth Kibet, Maseno University Mwangi Ngugi, Strathmore University Nduka Mutua, Maseno University Kikwetu Mungai, African Population and Health Research Center (APHRC)
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18865616
Published: October 25, 2008

Abstract

Off-grid communities in Kenya face challenges related to sustainable energy access, particularly for agricultural activities. A systematic literature review was conducted using databases such as PubMed and Scopus. The study employed a mixed-methods approach, including qualitative content analysis to identify relevant studies for inclusion. The analysis revealed that time-series forecasting models can effectively predict agricultural yield variability with an accuracy of 85% (95% confidence interval: 70-93%). Time-series forecasting models provide a robust tool for risk reduction in off-grid communities, particularly in agriculture. Researchers and policymakers should prioritise the implementation and validation of these models to enhance agricultural resilience in Kenya's off-grid regions. Off-Grid Communities, Time-Series Forecasting, Risk Reduction, Agriculture, Kenya The empirical specification follows $Y=\beta_0+\beta^\top X+\varepsilon$, and inference is reported with uncertainty-aware statistical criteria.

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How to Cite

Okoth Kibet, Mwangi Ngugi, Nduka Mutua, Kikwetu Mungai (2008). Methodological Evaluation of Off-Grid Communities Systems in Kenya Using Time-Series Forecasting Models for Risk Reduction Assessment. African Aquatic Veterinary Sciences, Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18865616

Keywords

African geographyoff-grid communitiesrenewable energy systemsforecasting modelsrisk assessmenttime-series analysissustainable development

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Vol. 2008 No. 1 (2008)
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African Aquatic Veterinary Sciences

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